Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.031288 0.033651 0.036013 0.038548 0.041187 0.043851 0.046739
2025-08-31 0.026484 0.030195 0.034029 0.038271 0.042816 0.047526 0.052761
2025-09-07 0.023691 0.028147 0.032856 0.038173 0.043977 0.050093 0.056995
2025-09-14 0.021183 0.026137 0.031484 0.037629 0.044447 0.051730 0.060054
2025-09-21 0.019105 0.024423 0.030272 0.037106 0.044794 0.053108 0.062711
2025-09-28 0.017023 0.022557 0.028763 0.036127 0.044524 0.053710 0.064425
2025-10-05 0.016250 0.022143 0.028848 0.036901 0.046176 0.056406 0.068427
2025-10-12 0.015317 0.021474 0.028585 0.037226 0.047277 0.058451 0.071671
2025-10-19 0.014181 0.020495 0.027901 0.037012 0.047716 0.059713 0.074003
2025-10-26 0.013749 0.020346 0.028179 0.037905 0.049417 0.062397 0.077938
2025-11-02 0.013004 0.019767 0.027905 0.038114 0.050296 0.064123 0.080765
2025-11-09 0.012136 0.018986 0.027350 0.037954 0.050716 0.065297 0.082943
2025-11-16 0.011264 0.018207 0.026823 0.037876 0.051302 0.066751 0.085559
2025-11-23 0.010340 0.017326 0.026149 0.037613 0.051672 0.067971 0.087933
2025-11-30 0.009571 0.016606 0.025639 0.037514 0.052209 0.069361 0.090482
2025-12-07 0.008680 0.015666 0.024805 0.036977 0.052184 0.070063 0.092209
2025-12-14 0.007869 0.014789 0.024014 0.036458 0.052153 0.070737 0.093882
2025-12-21 0.006953 0.013703 0.022901 0.035490 0.051533 0.070677 0.094664
2025-12-28 0.006734 0.013629 0.023139 0.036256 0.053066 0.073207 0.098524
2026-01-04 0.006375 0.013323 0.023044 0.036577 0.054035 0.075049 0.101562
2026-01-11 0.005862 0.012749 0.022558 0.036365 0.054316 0.076047 0.103582
2026-01-18 0.005736 0.012774 0.022901 0.037249 0.055986 0.078739 0.107640
2026-01-25 0.005406 0.012454 0.022745 0.037456 0.056786 0.080363 0.110411